Jacob Mackey — Data Scientist
JM. Data scientist
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Jacob Mackey · field notes

I like questions where the answer isn’t obvious yet.

I’m a financial economist turned data scientist. I build models, research systems and small products around markets, behaviour and uncertainty.

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Notebook updated · 11 Sep 2026
CurrentlyFour open threads
01 · watchingThe forecasting record, accumulating one day at a time.
02 · makingA Thai language-learning app I want to use myself.
03 · wonderingWhen agents are actually better than pipelines.
04 · lookingFor the first place to do this professionally.
Right now I’m trying to answerOpen question · 001

Can a public record tell us anything useful about tomorrow’s German power market?

Every forecast is sealed before the answer is known. Missed days stay visible. An AI assistant can explain the record, but it cannot rewrite it. The point is not to claim an edge early; it is to make the eventual answer harder to fool myself about.

Snapshot
03 Sep 2026
Record
25 scored · 8 missed
Boundary
No backfill

The submitted snapshot’s running skill is descriptive only. Formal assessment remains pending until 31 October 2026.

Follow the experiment →
Forecast Ledger artwork over wind turbines and electricity transmission lines
Forecast record
sealed before outcome
In progress
Forecast → sealed → outcome → scorePublic audit trail
Work indexThe proof lives one level down

Different subjects. The same habit: make the uncertainty visible.

The homepage is the map. Each case study contains the methods, evidence, decision and boundary.

Markets

Forecasts, prices and decisions made before the answer arrives.

Things I’m making

Some work begins with a dataset. Some begins because I want the thing to exist.

Where do shoppers disappear before buying?Product analytics · case study →
Retail journeys
View1,404,179
Basket32,934
Transaction9,952
97.65% leave before basket
London · open to UAE relocation
About

A financial economist who became more interested in how the answer is made.

I was trained in markets, econometrics and uncertainty. Data science gave me a way to turn that training into working systems: find the real decision, choose a credible baseline, test what changes, and keep the boundary visible when the evidence runs out.

2024
MSc Financial Economics (Merit)
Cardiff University
2023
BSc (Econ) Economics & Finance
Cardiff University
Tools I reach for
Python · SQL · DuckDB · scikit-learn · XGBoost · Responses API